From Trend Observation to Statistical ExperimentIn progress
《从趋势观察到统计实验》
About the book
This book grew out of a series of thoughts on analogies between trading markets and physics: price and position, momentum and force, sideways markets and potential energy, volatility and temperature.
The goal is not to prove that markets obey physical laws, but to turn intuitions and analogies, step by step, into tools that can be observed, tested and honestly bounded. The book only observes structure; it does not argue causes and it does not predict.
Key points
- The chain
- Trends must exist → the three states of a trend → tools for dividing trends → statistics of trends. Each link is the premise of the next.
- Three parts
- Structure Breakthrough Method (cutting price history into objective, reproducible up and down segments); Slingshot Theory (statistical tests of momentum and price structure moving together); Sprite Rules (positioning still being worked out).
- Data
- Historical prices for eight instruments, treated as fixed historical specimens and never updated with new prices.
Progress
| Part | Status |
|---|---|
| Book structure | Settled |
| Structure Breakthrough Method | Reader-facing draft done |
| Slingshot Theory | Rewrite not started |
| Sprite Rules | Rewrite not started; positioning still open |
Progress updated 2026-10-03.